Alberta may be overselling its best-before date for easing of Covid restrictions. Does the math/evidence support the prediction that “back to normal” will return mid-September?

Dr. Barry Dworkin

Medical Mythbusting Commentary for April 13, 2021

Alberta may be overselling its best-before date for easing of Covid restrictions. Does the math support the prediction that "back to normal" will return mid-September? Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

Source:
Alberta predicting no more masks or COVID-19 isolation by mid-September

Related posts:

  1. “Reality is that which when you stop believing in it, it doesn’t go away” – Philip K. Dick. The Grand Bargain to quarantine before holiday gatherings is a false pretense: Not enough time, false negative testing risk, and a dash of motivated reasoning.
  2. Israeli real-world Pfizer vaccine study reports infection rates dropped by 33% in treatment group of 200K people >60 y.o vs 200K controls after 21 days, less than predicted by proponents of delaying 2nd dose. Stay on schedule until proven otherwise.
  3. The variant is to model outcome predictions as Asimov’s Foundation series’ Mule was in Hari Seldon’s Psychohistory projections. Extracting six doses per vial instead of five is like Jean Luc Picard being told there are five lights when there are four.
  4. Ontario mulling extending dosing interval of Covid-19 vaccine to four months. If there is definitive evidence supporting this policy change, then it should be enacted.
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